Raising Medicare’s eligibility age to 67— featured in Speaker of the House Paul Ryan’s plan, “A Better Way: Health Care”—has gained renewed support in the current political environment. 1 Research conducted by the Actuarial Research Corporation (ARC) for the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare Foundation provides compelling evidence that suggests this would not be a “better way,” either for the health of Americans aged 65 and 66 or for the financial health of the institutions that provide care for them.
The ARC research provides a one-year snapshot of the impact of raising the eligibility age— taking a single year mid-way through the Trump administration, 2019, to illustrate the effect among people aged 65-66. The study assesses the impact of raising the eligibility age on health insurance coverage under two model scenarios: (a) assuming the Affordable Care Act (ACA) remains intact with conforming legislation to extend the premium subsidies and expand Medicaid eligibility to people aged 65-66 and, (b) assuming the ACA is repealed as proposed or is continued without conforming legislation. 2,3
– NCPSSM Foundation