We are learning more everyday about the impact of COVID-19 on the US and other populations around the world, and gradually gaining a greater understanding of the trajectories of infection and mortality rates. As more information becomes available, the accuracy of projected trajectories and demographic differences in incidence and prevalence of infections and mortality rates will grow.

We are learning more everyday about the impact of COVID-19 on the US and other populations around the world, and gradually gaining a greater understanding of the trajectories of infection and mortality rates. As more information becomes available, the accuracy of projected trajectories and demographic differences in incidence and prevalence of infections and mortality rates will grow.

That will allow greater confidence in our knowledge of what future conditions are likely to prevail under different policy intervention scenarios, especially those regarding the economy. Our understanding of population dynamics allows us to better predict who is going to be affected most, and where resources should be directed now and in the future. The site will serve as a repository for the accumulation of epidemiology and demography information and its policy implications.

Important Links

• Reopening colleges may have caused tens of thousands of coronavirus cases: study (The Hill)
• As virus pummels US, Europe sees its own spike (The Hill)
• As doctors worry about ‘a very apocalyptic fall,’ the CDC retracts info on how Covid-19 spreads (CNN)
• US coronavirus case rates are ticking up after weeks of decline (CNN)
• ‘Astonishingly risky’: COVID-19 cases at colleges are fueling the nation’s hottest outbreaks (USA Today)
• US sees almost 90,000 COVID deaths from Memorial to Labor Day (CIDRAP)
• COVID-19 cases rise in U.S. Midwest and Northeast, deaths fall for third week (Reuters)
• What Young, Healthy People Have to Fear From COVID-19 (The Atlantic)
• Monitoring the Coronavirus Outbreak in Metro Areas Across the U.S. (The New York Times)
• 70 percent of new coronavirus cases are coming from red states (The Hill)
• ‘Rolling hotspots’ are the new normal: Sun Belt states see progress on coronavirus as rates drift up in the Midwest (CNN)
• What we’ve learned about Covid-19 seven months after the first US case (CNN)
• Teen and children hospitalizations, deaths from coronavirus increasing: report (The Hill)
• The Midwest Sees a Spike as Covid-19 Cases Decline Elsewhere (The New York Times)
• Getting COVID-19 and the flu at the same time: What are the risks? (ABC News)
• US faces long road on COVID-19 amid signs of improvement (The Hill)
• Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Children Without Symptoms of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (JAMA)
• COVID-19 cases among children surge in Georgia (AJC)
• Why Does the Coronavirus Hit Men Harder? A New Clue (The New York Times)
• Why The Coronavirus Is So ‘Superspready’ (npr)
• The True Coronavirus Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000 (The New York Times)
• Accuracy of U.S. coronavirus data thrown into question as decline in testing skews drop in new cases (CNBC)
• The Health 202: Coronavirus keeps spreading. But at least we’ve learned more about it. (The Washington Post)
• Masks could save 70,000 Americans by December, model predicts, as infections among younger people soar (CNN)
• The Health 202: Why individual models of coronavirus deaths are often wrong (The Washington Post)
• Fauci warns of ‘really bad situation’ if daily coronavirus cases don’t drop to 10K by September (The Hill)
• Measuring excess mortality gives a clearer picture of the pandemic’s true burden (STAT)
• As a possible plateau in Louisiana coronavirus cases brings hope, fear of rising deaths looms (nola)
• CDC predicting 180,000 US deaths from coronavirus by August 22: report (The Hill)
• Monitoring the Coronavirus Outbreak in Metro Areas Across the U.S. (The New York Times)
• School closures in spring linked to drastic decrease in Covid-19 cases and deaths (STAT)
• Here’s what COVID-19 does to a child’s body (National Geographic)
• 2nd US virus surge hits plateau, but few experts celebrate (AP News)
• U.S. Surpasses 150,000 Coronavirus Deaths, Far Eclipsing Projections (The New York Times)
• Diabetes highlights two Americas: One where COVID is easily beaten, the other where it’s often devastating (USA Today)
• Spiking or plateauing? Covid-19 case counts spur debate (Politico)
• What Scientists Know About How Children Spread COVID-19 (Portside)
• US surpasses 4 million reported coronavirus cases as hospitalizations near record (CNN)
• The Rise in Testing Is Not Driving the Rise in U.S. Virus Cases (The New York Times)
• Silent spread of virus keeps scientists grasping for clues (AP News)
• Pinning hopes on vaccine is not the right coronavirus strategy, expert says (CNN)
• After bending the curve, California has overtaken New York for the most Covid-19 cases (CNN)
• Older Children Spread the Coronavirus Just as Much as Adults, Large Study Finds (The New York Times)
• Trump said more Covid-19 testing ‘creates more cases.’ We did the math (STAT)
• Almost one-third of Florida children tested are positive for the coronavirus (The Hill)
• U.S. shatters coronavirus record with over 77,000 cases in a day (Reuters)
• A Second Coronavirus Death Surge Is Coming (The Atlantic)
• WHO sounds alarm as coronavirus cases rise by one million in five days (Reuters)
• COVID-19 surge pushes US toward deadly cliff (The Hill)
• U.S. sets one-day record with more than 60,500 COVID cases; Americans divided (Reuters)
• The Health 202: Why determining the coronavirus death rate is so tricky (The Washington Post)
• Grim projection: 200,000 dead by Election Day (Politico)
• Study of 17 Million Identifies Crucial Risk Factors for Coronavirus Deaths (The New York Times)
• Coronavirus Cases Are Peaking Again. Here’s How It’s Different This Time. (The New York Times)
• How COVID-19 in Jails and Prisons Threatens Nearby Communities (PEW)
• U.S. coronavirus cases rise by 47,000, biggest one-day spike of pandemic (Reuters)
• Researchers report nearly 300 cases of inflammatory syndrome tied to Covid-19 in kids (STAT)
• US health officials estimate 20M Americans have had virus (AP News)
• ‘Coming back and biting us’: US sees virus resurgence (AP News)
• Is A Second Wave Of Coronavirus Coming? (KHN)
• WHO records largest single-day increase in COVID-19 cases (The Hill)
• Coronavirus Cases Rise Sharply in Prisons Even as They Plateau Nationwide (The New York Times)
• Rising Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations underscore the long road ahead (STAT)
• Fauci on coronavirus infections: ‘We’re still in a first wave’ (The Hill)
• Coronavirus Cases Spike Across Sun Belt as Economy Lurches into Motion (The New York Times)
• COVID-19 patients with underlying health conditions are 12 times more likely to die: CDC (The Hill)
• Texas reports highest number of hospitalized coronavirus patients since outbreak began (CBS News)
• Record spikes in new coronavirus cases, hospitalizations sweep parts of U.S. (Reuters)
• Fears of second U.S. coronavirus wave rise on worrisome spike in cases, hospitalizations (Reuters)
• Ominous sign? Of the 14 states with rising new coronavirus cases, Arizona has experts especially worried (ABC News)
• We’re Headed for a Hot, Dark Summer (Intelligencer)
• 8 states that experts worry are the new Covid-19 hot spots (Vox)
• U.S. Hits 2 Million Coronavirus Cases As Many States See A Surge Of Patients (NPR)
• The coronavirus pandemic isn’t ending — it’s surging (The Washington Post)
• The Health 202: The pandemic is far from over, but Trump is restarting campaign rallies (The Washington Post)
• 12 states see rising Covid-19 hospitalizations as Arizona asks hospitals to activate emergency plans (CNN)
• Fauci calls coronavirus his ‘worst nightmare’ as infectious disease expert (Politico)
• Fauci Warns That the Coronavirus Pandemic Is Far From Over (The New York Times)
• Shutdowns through early April prevented about 60 million US coronavirus infections, study says (CNN)
• As more Americans head out, 22 states are seeing jumps in new coronavirus cases (CNN)
• When 511 Epidemiologists Expect to Fly, Hug and Do 18 Other Everyday Activities Again (The New York Times)
• Coronavirus Rips Into Regions Previously Spared (The New York Times)
• Who Is Most Likely to Die From the Coronavirus? (The New York Times)
• Protests could spread coronavirus. But a second wave was coming before the demonstrations. (NBC News)
• Coronavirus infection rate may shift toward younger ages; death risk higher in cancer patients (Reuters)
• Is America’s Pandemic Waning or Raging? Yes (The New York Times)
• The Top U.S. Coronavirus Hot Spots Are All Indian Lands (The New York Times)
• Rising ICU bed use ‘a big red flag’ (Politico)
• Bad state data hides coronavirus threat as Trump pushes reopening (Politico)
• The World Is Still Far From Herd Immunity for Coronavirus (The New York Times)
• Reopening too soon: Lessons from the deadly second wave of the 1918 flu pandemic (The Washington Post)
• CDC estimates that 35% of coronavirus patients don’t have symptoms (CNN)
• Coronavirus tracked: the latest figures as countries fight to contain the pandemic (Financial Times)
• Let’s Remember That the Coronavirus Is Still a Mystery (The New York Times)
• Coronavirus hot spots erupt across the country; experts warn of second wave in South (The Washington Post)
• New figures show stark disparities in coronavirus deaths across NYC neighborhoods (The Hill)
• Why Belgium has recorded so many coronavirus deaths (The Washington Post)
• Disease modelers are wary of reopening the country. Here’s how they arrive at their verdict (The Washington Post)
• COVID-19 much more fatal for men, especially taking age into account (Brookings)
• Virus spikes could emerge weeks after US economic reopenings (AP News)
• How To Make Sense of All The COVID-19 Projections? A New Model Combines Them (NPR)
• Making sense of COVID-19 fatality rates (StarTribune)
• Coronavirus cases expanding in states preparing to reopen (The Hill)
• On top of official death toll, number of coronavirus-related deaths also up in NYC (Politico)
• Some are Winning – Some are Not (End Coronavirus)
• Three potential futures for Covid-19: recurring small outbreaks, a monster wave, or a persistent crisis (STAT)
• A snapshot of coronavirus in the U.S.: A high plateau of new cases portends more spread (STAT)
• Former CDC Official Warns Of 2nd COVID-19 Wave: Most Americans Are Still Susceptible (wbur)
• Models under scrutiny as coronavirus gets more politicized (The Hill)
• US infection rate rising outside New York as states open up (AP News)
• Models shift to predict dramatically more U.S. deaths as states relax social distancing (Politico)
• Three potential futures for Covid-19: recurring small outbreaks, a monster wave, or a persistent crisis (STAT)
• Why the Coronavirus Is So Confusing (The Atlantic)
• Coronavirus Kills People an Average of a Decade Before Their Time, Studies Find (The Wall Street Journal)
• Three potential futures for Covid-19: recurring small outbreaks, a monster wave, or a persistent crisis (STAT)
• Five Ways to Follow the Coronavirus Outbreak for Any Metro Area in the U.S. (The New York Times)
• Coronavirus tracked: the latest figures as countries fight to contain the pandemic (Financial Times)
• N.Y.C. Deaths Reach 6 Times the Normal Level, Far More Than Coronavirus Count Suggests (The New York Times)
• U.S. Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported, C.D.C. Data Suggests (The New York Times)
• ‘It doesn’t stay where you started’: Reopening some states heightens the risk of coronavirus surges in others (STAT)
• CDC: US COVID-19 death toll likely higher than reported (CIDRAP)
• How accurate is the US coronavirus death count? Some experts say it’s off by ‘tens of thousands’ (ABC News)
• Study: Many asymptomatic COVID-19 cases undetected (CIDRAP)
• Case fatality rates rise as coronavirus runs deadly course (The Hill)
• N.Y.C. Deaths Reach 6 Times the Normal Level, Far More Than Coronavirus Count Suggests (The New York Times)
• How overly optimistic modeling distorted Trump team’s coronavirus response (Politico)
• What 5 Coronavirus Models Say the Next Month Will Look Like (The New York Times)
• Nearly half lived with unhealthy pollution levels in 2016-2018: analysis (The Hill)
• It’s hard to count coronavirus deaths accurately. But here’s why experts say it’s important (New Orleans Advocate)
• Covid-19 Does Not Discriminate by Body Weight (Wired)
• The Huge Cost of Waiting to Contain the Pandemic (The New York Times)
• ‘It’s Not Over Until It’s Over’: 5 Things To Know About Hitting The COVID-19 Peak (KHN)
• A New Statistic Reveals Why America’s COVID-19 Numbers Are Flat (The Atlantic)
• Who lives in the places where coronavirus is hitting the hardest? (Brookings)
• Sewage analysis suggests a New England metro area with fewer than 500 COVID-19 cases may have exponentially more (ABC News)
• Studies: Smoking, age, other factors raise risk of COVID-19 death (CIDRAP)
• As some leaders weigh pursuit of ‘herd immunity’ from coronavirus, experts warn risks are too high (ABC News)
• Don’t lump seniors together on coronavirus. Older people aren’t all the same (USA Today)
• Experts in Italy, Asia share COVID-19 ICU experience, warnings (CIDRAP)