Politics of Aging

Joe Biden’s Long Career as a Deficit Hawk Will Come Back to Bite Him

For the vast majority of his career, Joe Biden was a proud deficit hawk—a man who fretted for decades about federal spending and, on occasion, bragged about his own personal attempts in the 1980s “to freeze all government spending, including Social Security,” in the name of fiscal prudence. Now, in the midst of a Democratic […]

Battle over Social Security spills into 2020 campaign as Democrats spar and Trump weighs in

Statements by President Trump and top Democratic presidential candidates in recent days have thrust Social Security into the middle of the 2020 campaign, revealing tensions within both political parties over government spending and a program that pays monthly benefits to nearly 70 million people. Trump appeared to express a new openness to revamping entitlement programs […]

The Bernie-Biden clash over Social Security, explained

Social Security hasn’t been at the top of the American political agenda for years, but Bernie Sanders is putting it back — to take on Joe Biden. Sanders’s camp heavily previewed the argument that Biden has a worrying track record of pushing for Social Security cuts before the most recent Democratic debate, but then whiffed, […]

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election

In July of 2018, raised eyebrows by predicting some four months before the midterm election that Democrats would pick up 42 seats in the House of Representatives. In hindsight, that may not seem such a bold prediction, but when my forecast was released, election Twitter was still having a robust debate as to whether the […]